Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 15.970228 18.517651 21.280631 24.492447 28.115391 32.067457 36.696466
2025-09-14 11.881279 15.433618 19.664046 25.035443 31.632196 39.425103 49.279156
2025-09-21 9.088292 12.945450 17.895226 24.627907 33.449589 44.507636 59.293367
2025-09-28 7.128319 11.003474 16.306705 23.951650 34.520164 48.422464 67.861024
2025-10-05 6.415267 10.574331 16.569444 25.619836 38.666597 56.478859 82.246564
2025-10-12 5.769927 10.101835 16.648310 26.948944 42.359610 64.095443 96.480746
2025-10-19 5.016936 9.320398 16.130470 27.281412 44.563401 69.696512 108.187847
2025-10-26 4.367481 8.589945 15.571479 27.439713 46.446965 74.879556 119.531568
2025-11-02 3.736601 7.780752 14.764802 27.081471 47.444525 78.741393 129.082334
2025-11-09 3.179417 7.007050 13.906673 26.517477 48.015821 81.923192 137.714782
2025-11-16 2.698152 6.292340 13.051251 25.843760 48.307503 84.626273 145.689552
2025-11-23 2.242525 5.546169 12.035246 24.761061 47.784350 85.940259 151.480566
2025-11-30 2.012829 5.258283 11.894673 25.338470 50.325978 92.666876 166.797268
2025-12-07 1.795509 4.963916 11.715386 25.849631 52.842418 99.605115 183.040654
2025-12-14 1.523458 4.485644 11.090723 25.422604 53.604721 103.597975 194.609588
2025-12-21 1.273802 4.003463 10.379770 24.726140 53.775742 106.536009 204.512569
2025-12-28 1.231046 4.043481 10.820835 26.440437 58.683295 118.150646 230.016692
2026-01-04 1.166012 4.009974 11.087509 27.806126 63.001837 128.935162 254.590961
2026-01-11 1.045302 3.793597 10.893500 28.147709 65.294887 136.127320 273.123493
2026-01-18 0.929772 3.564851 10.634435 28.310346 67.223410 142.732693 290.905516
2026-01-25 0.803778 3.271707 10.168112 27.942283 68.006598 147.194755 304.962778
2026-02-01 0.686327 2.973644 9.640013 27.362789 68.279432 150.666969 317.325968
2026-02-08 0.581432 2.687181 9.094128 26.670500 68.236045 153.493085 328.580182